Analysis on market demand of aquatic feed ruminant feed in China

Analysis of aquatic feed market

Aquaculture industry still cannot get rid of the passive situation of "looking at the sky and eating". The average annual growth rate of 2009~2013 is 4.95%, which is lower than the growth rate of the national total feed output. Moreover, because of the frequent occurrence of disastrous weather, the complexity of aquaculture diseases and the fluctuation of aquatic products price, the output of aquatic feed in our country fluctuates greatly, and it can not be broken in the short term.

In 2013, China's aquatic feed output was about 18 million 643 thousand tons, down 1.48% year-on-year. Large outbreaks of aquaculture diseases and weak prices of aquatic products are the main reasons for the decline in growth rates. In 2014, rising prices of aquatic products and aquaculture farmers enthusiasm improve good seedling, aquatic feed demand is expected to achieve recovery growth, expected growth of about 3%-5% year (according to the deputy director Wang Junxun published data, 2014 aquaculture feed production 19 million 30 thousand tons, an increase of 2.1%). Among them, by tilapia streptococcus disease and grass carp hemorrhagic disease, freshwater fish feeding growth below market expectations; the shrimp significantly improved the success rate of the positive effects, the momentum of rapid development of special aquatic feed, can be described as thriving.

In 2009~2013, the proportion of aquatic feed in the total output of aquatic feed was 97.4%, 98.1%, 98.1%, 98.1% and 98.3%, respectively, and it has been in a very high level. With the pig industry can choose to use different ingredients, aquatic feed there is a high technical barriers, aquaculture farmers basically buy Aquatic feed from the feed factory. Therefore, the increment of future aquatic feed products can hardly be ignored due to the adjustment of product structure. If the factory aquaculture technology can not achieve a breakthrough, and become popular, the demand for aquatic compound feed is unlikely to achieve rapid development. However, the aquatic feed market is still expected to exceed 20 million tons in 2020, due to the dual factors that promote the popularization of aquatic feed market and the steady development of aquaculture industry.

In 2013, China's concentrate feed production was about 72 thousand tons, down 26.53% year-on-year. Relative to the production of aquatic feed, the production of concentrated aquatic feed has been negligible, and the rest is to see when it will completely withdraw from the market.

The fluctuation range of aquatic premix feed was large. As the main customers of aquatic premix feed enterprises are aquatic feed enterprises, there is still a foundation for survival and development in a long period of time. Moreover, there is a positive correlation between the pre mixed feed and the total output of aquatic feed.

Market analysis of ruminant feed

In 2013, ruminant feed production was 7 million 951 thousand tons, an increase of 2.6%, is one of the two varieties that can continue to grow. This outstanding performance mainly attributed to the rise in beef and mutton prices, the implementation of the national subsidy policy brought about by the growth of ruminant feeding scale.

Among them, the ruminant compound feed production in 2013 was about 5 million 590 thousand tons, an increase of 5.13%. Because; dairy farming efficiency continued to narrow space, a large number of relatively small scale farming farmers selling cattle, cattle, dairy cattle breeding industry led directly to exit, 2013 ruminant animal feed, concentrated feed premix production declines, respectively 2 million 98 thousand tons and 262 thousand tons, down 2.01%, compared with 9.97%.
In support of the country to promote the introduction of beef mutton production, and organize the implementation of "National Development Plan" beef and mutton production background, ruminant animal breeding industry is expected to usher in a flourish, ruminant animal feed demand is expected to reach in the next five years to more than 8% annual growth rate (according to the deputy director Wang Junxun released data, 2014 in ruminant animal feed production 8 million 760 thousand tons, an increase of 10.2%).